Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Dynamo Dresden to win @ 2.85 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDynamo Dresden to win ✗40% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dynamo Dresden travel to face Fortuna Düsseldorf on Friday 24 April in the 2. Bundesliga, with Merkur Spiel-Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Fortuna Düsseldorf, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Holstein Kiel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Dynamo Dresden, last 4: WDWD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Preußen Münster, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dynamo Dresden, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.5 xG, Dynamo Dresden 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortuna Düsseldorf 36%, draw 24%, Dynamo Dresden 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Dynamo Dresden to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 Dynamo Dresden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortuna Düsseldorf36%fair 2.75 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.55
Dynamo Dresden40%fair 2.51 · @2.85
3.05Expected goals
1.46Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
1.59Dynamo Dresden xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.5 – 1.6 Dynamo Dresden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo Dresden to win✗
40%
2.51
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Draw no bet
Dynamo Dresden (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Fortuna Düsseldorf +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Dynamo Dresden to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo Dresden / FT Dynamo Dresden✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Fortuna Düsseldorf – last 6
LLLWWL
10 Apr
vs Holstein Kiel
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Hertha BSC
2–5
L
7 Mar
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs VfL Bochum
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ SV Darmstadt 98
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Dynamo Dresden – last 4
WDWD
15 Mar
vs Preußen Münster
6–0
W
8 Mar
@ Karlsruher SC
3–3
D
27 Feb
vs SV Darmstadt 98
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Hannover 96
0–0
D
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Düsseldorf and Dynamo Dresden.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
On our numbers Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dynamo Dresden 40%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 Dynamo Dresden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
