Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction & Expected Goals (10 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHertha BSC to win ✓63% · @1.83

Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓81% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.24

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 10 May the 2. Bundesliga brings Hertha BSC against SpVgg Greuther Fürth at Olympiastadion. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Hertha BSC are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 11 matches; SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th (lower half) with 12. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hertha BSC, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to 1. FC Magdeburg, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with 1. FC Nürnberg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hertha BSC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hertha BSC 2.3 xG, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hertha BSC 63%, draw 19%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 19%.
Lower-risk option: Hertha BSC or draw (81%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Hertha BSC to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hertha BSC or draw (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hertha BSC 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hertha BSC63%fair 1.59 · @1.83

Draw19%fair 5.37 · @4.10

SpVgg Greuther Fürth19%fair 5.37 · @3.55

3.28Expected goals

2.29Hertha BSC xG

0.99SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

65%Both score

65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–110%

1–09%

1–19%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: Hertha BSC 2.3 – 1.0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hertha BSC to win ✓	63%	1.59	1.83 ▲
Double chance	Hertha BSC or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.54	1.42
Draw no bet	Hertha BSC (draw no bet) ✓	77%	1.30	–
Asian handicap	Hertha BSC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.28
First team to score	Hertha BSC to score first	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Hertha BSC ahead at half-time ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC ✗	44%	2.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.24	–

Hertha BSC – last 6

LDWWWL

3 May	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	0–1	L
19 Apr	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1–1	D
22 Mar	@ Fortuna Düsseldorf	5–2	W
8 Mar	@ Preußen Münster	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs 1. FC Nürnberg	2–1	W
22 Feb	@ SC Paderborn 07	2–5	L

2.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6

DLWLLW

3 May	vs 1. FC Nürnberg	1–1	D
26 Apr	@ VfL Bochum	1–2	L
19 Apr	vs SV Darmstadt 98	3–2	W
5 Apr	vs SC Paderborn 07	0–2	L
20 Mar	@ Karlsruher SC	1–3	L
13 Mar	vs SV Elversberg	2–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our pick is Hertha BSC or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

On our numbers Hertha BSC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 19%.

How many goals will there be in Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our predicted score is Hertha BSC 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Olympiastadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth: numbers & prediction