Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Magdeburg Prediction & Expected Goals (9 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

Result1. FC Magdeburg to win ✓44% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.13

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.96

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga, played at Holstein-Stadion. In the table, Holstein Kiel are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; 1. FC Magdeburg are 4th (among the top four) with 20. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Holstein Kiel, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Eintracht Braunschweig, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

1. FC Magdeburg, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hertha BSC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Holstein Kiel 1.4 xG, 1. FC Magdeburg 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 67%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Holstein Kiel 33%, draw 23%, 1. FC Magdeburg 44%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holstein Kiel 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Holstein Kiel33%fair 3.03 · @2.90

Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.95

1. FC Magdeburg44%fair 2.26 · @2.10

3.05Expected goals

1.38Holstein Kiel xG

1.681. FC Magdeburg xG

67%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

0–27%

1–07%

From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 1.4 – 1.7 1. FC Magdeburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	1. FC Magdeburg to win ✓	44%	2.26	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	67%	1.49	1.40
Draw no bet	1. FC Magdeburg (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Holstein Kiel +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	60%	1.67	1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.28
First team to score	1. FC Magdeburg to score first ✓	52%	1.91	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.56	–
Half-time / full-time	HT 1. FC Magdeburg / FT 1. FC Magdeburg ✓	27%	3.72	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.96	–

Holstein Kiel – last 6

WWWDWL

2 May	vs Eintracht Braunschweig	2–0	W
17 Apr	vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern	3–0	W
10 Apr	@ Fortuna Düsseldorf	2–1	W
5 Apr	vs Preußen Münster	0–0	D
22 Mar	@ VfL Bochum	3–2	W
7 Mar	@ SV Darmstadt 98	0–2	L

1.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

1. FC Magdeburg – last 6

WLLWWD

3 May	vs Hertha BSC	1–0	W
26 Apr	@ 1. FC Nürnberg	0–1	L
12 Apr	@ SC Paderborn 07	3–4	L
4 Apr	vs VfL Bochum	4–1	W
22 Mar	@ Preußen Münster	3–1	W
13 Mar	vs SV Darmstadt 98	1–1	D

2.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and 1. FC Magdeburg 44%.

How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Magdeburg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Magdeburg: numbers & prediction