On Friday 13 February the Ligue 2 brings PAU against Boulogne at Nouste Camp. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, PAU are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Boulogne are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAU 1.3 xG, Boulogne 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAU 47%, draw 28%, Boulogne 25%.
Lower-risk option: PAU or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAU 1–1 Boulogne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAU47%fair 2.12 · @1.83
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.45
Boulogne25%fair 4.08 · @4.20
2.39Expected goals
1.34PAU xG
1.05Boulogne xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: PAU 1.3 – 1.1 Boulogne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAU to win✗
47%
2.12
1.83
Double chance
PAU or draw✗
75%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.77
Draw no bet
PAU (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Boulogne +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
PAU to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAU / FT PAU✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
PAU
No recent results on record.
Boulogne
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Boulogne.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win PAU vs Boulogne?
On our numbers PAU have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Boulogne 25%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Boulogne?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Boulogne?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–1 Boulogne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Boulogne?
PAU vs Boulogne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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