On Friday 3 April the Ligue 2 brings Bastia against Amiens at Stade Armand Cesari. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Bastia, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rodez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Amiens, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Le Mans, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bastia, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Amiens.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bastia 1.1 xG, Amiens 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bastia 45%, draw 27%, Amiens 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bastia 1–1 Amiens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bastia45%fair 2.23 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.40
Amiens29%fair 3.51 · @3.60
2.23Expected goals
1.14Bastia xG
1.09Amiens xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bastia 1.1 – 1.1 Amiens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✗
45%
2.23
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Bastia (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Amiens +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Bastia to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bastia / FT Bastia✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.11
–
Recent results
Bastia – last 6
DLDLDD
20 Mar
@ Rodez
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Boulogne
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ PAU
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Annecy
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Dunkerque
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Estac Troyes
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Amiens – last 6
LLLLDL
20 Mar
vs Le Mans
3–4
L
13 Mar
@ Guingamp
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Boulogne
2–4
L
2 Mar
vs Estac Troyes
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Reims
0–0
D
13 Feb
vs Dunkerque
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bastia and Amiens.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bastia vs Amiens?
On our numbers Bastia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Amiens 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Amiens?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Amiens?
Our predicted score is Bastia 1–1 Amiens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Amiens?
Bastia vs Amiens (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Annecy1
Guingamp0
RED Star FC 930
Laval0
Dunkerque1
Rodez1
Grenoble2
Clermont Foot2