Value bet: Hapoel Afula to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Afula to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ironi Modi'in travel to face Hapoel Afula on Monday 6 April in the Liga Leumit, with Grundman Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Afula are 5th, upper half, on 24 points after 13 matches; Ironi Modi'in are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hapoel Afula, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bnei Yehuda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Ironi Modi'in, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hapoel Kfar Saba, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Hapoel Afula, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Ironi Modi'in.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Afula 1.6 xG, Ironi Modi'in 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Afula 44%, draw 24%, Ironi Modi'in 31%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Afula to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Afula 1–1 Ironi Modi'in. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Afula44%fair 2.25 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Ironi Modi'in31%fair 3.20 · @2.62
2.81Expected goals
1.64Hapoel Afula xG
1.17Ironi Modi'in xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hapoel Afula 1.6 – 1.2 Ironi Modi'in expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Afula to win✗
44%
2.25
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
Hapoel Afula (draw no bet)
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Modi'in +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Hapoel Afula to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Afula / FT Hapoel Afula✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Hapoel Afula – last 4
LWLW
27 Mar
vs Bnei Yehuda
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Maccabi Petah Tikva
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–5
L
16 Feb
@ Hapoel Acre
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ironi Modi'in – last 4
WLDL
30 Mar
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Bnei Yehuda
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Maccabi Petah Tikva
1–5
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Afula and Ironi Modi'in.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
On our numbers Hapoel Afula have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ironi Modi'in 31%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Afula 1–1 Ironi Modi'in, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Grundman Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
