Maccabi Petah Tikva v Hapoel Nazareth Illit Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMaccabi Petah Tikva to win ✓56% · @1.36

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Maccabi Petah Tikva v Hapoel Nazareth Illit in the Liga Leumit, played at HaMoshava Stadium.

Current form

Maccabi Petah Tikva, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hapoel Afula, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bnei Yehuda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.9 xG, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Maccabi Petah Tikva 56%, draw 21%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 23%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maccabi Petah Tikva56%fair 1.80 · @1.36

Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.20

Hapoel Nazareth Illit23%fair 4.36 · @7.00

3.23Expected goals

1.86Maccabi Petah Tikva xG

1.37Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG

61%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–07%

1–27%

2–07%

2–26%

From our goals model: Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.9 – 1.4 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Maccabi Petah Tikva to win ✓	56%	1.80	1.36
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.64	1.75 ▲
Draw no bet	Maccabi Petah Tikva (draw no bet) ✓	71%	1.41	–
Asian handicap	Hapoel Nazareth Illit +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	60%	1.68	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	77%	1.29	–
First team to score	Maccabi Petah Tikva to score first	55%	1.81	–
Half-time result	Maccabi Petah Tikva ahead at half-time ✓	38%	2.66	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Maccabi Petah Tikva / FT Maccabi Petah Tikva ✓	30%	3.31	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.67	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Maccabi Petah Tikva to win ✓

56%

1.80

1.36

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

79%

1.27

1.20

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

61%

1.64

1.75 ▲

Draw no bet

Maccabi Petah Tikva (draw no bet) ✓

71%

1.41

–

Asian handicap

Hapoel Nazareth Illit +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

65%

1.54

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

83%

1.20

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

63%

1.60

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

60%

1.68

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✗

77%

1.29

–

First team to score

Maccabi Petah Tikva to score first

55%

1.81

–

Half-time result

Maccabi Petah Tikva ahead at half-time ✓

38%

2.66

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Maccabi Petah Tikva / FT Maccabi Petah Tikva ✓

30%

3.31

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10.67

–

27 Feb	vs Hapoel Afula	0–1	L
23 Feb	@ Bnei Yehuda	1–1	D
13 Feb	vs Ironi Modi'in	5–1	W

31 Mar	vs Bnei Yehuda	1–1	D
27 Mar	vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	0–1	L
27 Feb	@ Hapoel Acre	2–0	W
20 Feb	vs Hapoel Hadera	2–2	D
13 Feb	@ Kafr Qasim	3–2	W

Maccabi Petah Tikva v Hapoel Nazareth Illit: numbers & prediction