Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Afula to win ✗38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Afula welcome Hapoel Nazareth Illit to Grundman Stadium for a Liga Leumit fixture on Tuesday 14 April (18:30 WAT).
Current form
Hapoel Afula, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hapoel Ra'anana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Maccabi Petah Tikva, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Afula 1.5 xG, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Afula 38%, draw 26%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Afula 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Afula38%fair 2.66 · @2.85
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.00
Hapoel Nazareth Illit36%fair 2.74 · @2.40
2.74Expected goals
1.45Hapoel Afula xG
1.29Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Afula 1.5 – 1.3 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Afula to win✗
38%
2.66
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Hapoel Afula (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Nazareth Illit +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Hapoel Afula to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Afula / FT Hapoel Afula✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Hapoel Afula – last 6
DDLWLW
10 Apr
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Ironi Modi'in
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Bnei Yehuda
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Maccabi Petah Tikva
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–5
L
16 Feb
@ Hapoel Acre
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
LDLWDW
3 Apr
@ Maccabi Petah Tikva
1–5
L
31 Mar
vs Bnei Yehuda
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Hapoel Acre
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Hapoel Hadera
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Kafr Qasim
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Hapoel Afula have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Afula 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Grundman Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Maccabi Petah Tikva1
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