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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grazer AK v Red Bull Salzburg: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Austria · Merkur-Arena
Grazer AK 16%Draw 21%Red Bull Salzburg 63% Expected goals 0.95 – 2.23
84%
Betarazi pick

Red Bull Salzburg or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Red Bull Salzburg to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRed Bull Salzburg to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceRed Bull Salzburg or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Grazer AK v Red Bull Salzburg in the Bundesliga, played at Merkur-Arena. In the table, Grazer AK are 10th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grazer AK 1.0 xG, Red Bull Salzburg 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grazer AK 16%, draw 21%, Red Bull Salzburg 63%.
  • Lower-risk option: Red Bull Salzburg or draw (84%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Red Bull Salzburg to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Red Bull Salzburg or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grazer AK 0–2 Red Bull Salzburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grazer AK16%fair 6.21 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.70
Red Bull Salzburg63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
3.18Expected goals
0.95Grazer AK xG
2.23Red Bull Salzburg xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Grazer AK 1.0 – 2.2 Red Bull Salzburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRed Bull Salzburg to win ✗63%1.601.75 ▲
Double chanceRed Bull Salzburg or draw ✓84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.73
Draw no betRed Bull Salzburg (draw no bet)80%1.26–
Asian handicapRed Bull Salzburg -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.12
First team to scoreRed Bull Salzburg to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultRed Bull Salzburg ahead at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Red Bull Salzburg / FT Red Bull Salzburg ✗43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Grazer AK

No recent results on record.

Red Bull Salzburg

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Grazer AK and Red Bull Salzburg.

Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna121101+3033
2Red Bull Salzburg12930+2430
3Lask Linz12813+1525
4TSV Hartberg12624+420
5Sturm Graz12543+519
6Ried12444-116
7WSG Wattens12345-313
8Austria Lustenau12327-1511
9SCR Altach12318-910
10Grazer AK12246-2010
11Austria Vienna12228-128
12Wolfsberger AC12138-186

More Bundesliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our pick is Red Bull Salzburg or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

On our numbers Grazer AK have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Red Bull Salzburg 63%.

How many goals will there be in Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our predicted score is Grazer AK 0–2 Red Bull Salzburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.