Value bet: FC BW Linz to win @ 4.20 – our chance 28% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSturm Graz to win ✓45% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sturm Graz welcome FC BW Linz to Merkur-Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 22 February (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sturm Graz 1.4 xG, FC BW Linz 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sturm Graz 45%, draw 27%, FC BW Linz 28%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: FC BW Linz to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturm Graz 1–1 FC BW Linz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sturm Graz45%fair 2.22 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.25
FC BW Linz28%fair 3.55 · @4.20
2.72Expected goals
1.40Sturm Graz xG
1.32FC BW Linz xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.4 – 1.3 FC BW Linz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✓
45%
2.22
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.85
Draw no bet
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
FC BW Linz +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Sturm Graz to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Sturm Graz
No recent results on record.
FC BW Linz – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Wolfsberger AC
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz and FC BW Linz.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz?
On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FC BW Linz 28%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 1–1 FC BW Linz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz?
Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
