Value bet: TSV Hartberg to win @ 2.35 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTSV Hartberg to win ✓53% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: TSV Hartberg v Grazer AK in the Bundesliga, played at Stadion Hartberg. In the table, TSV Hartberg are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; Grazer AK are 10th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give TSV Hartberg 1.9 xG, Grazer AK 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – TSV Hartberg 53%, draw 22%, Grazer AK 24%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: TSV Hartberg to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: TSV Hartberg 2–0 Grazer AK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
TSV Hartberg53%fair 1.87 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Grazer AK24%fair 4.14 · @2.95
2.86Expected goals
1.91TSV Hartberg xG
0.95Grazer AK xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: TSV Hartberg 1.9 – 1.0 Grazer AK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSV Hartberg to win✓
53%
1.87
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
TSV Hartberg (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Grazer AK +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.06
First team to score
TSV Hartberg to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
TSV Hartberg ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSV Hartberg / FT TSV Hartberg✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
TSV Hartberg
No recent results on record.
Grazer AK – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSV Hartberg and Grazer AK.
What is the prediction for TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
On our numbers TSV Hartberg have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grazer AK 24%.
How many goals will there be in TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
Our predicted score is TSV Hartberg 2–0 Grazer AK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hartberg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
