Mallorca vs Espanyol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Mallorca v Espanyol in the La Liga, played at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca 1.4 xG, Espanyol 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca 42%, draw 28%, Espanyol 30%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca 1–1 Espanyol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.00
Espanyol30%fair 3.33 · @3.20
2.42Expected goals
1.39Mallorca xG
1.04Espanyol xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.4 – 1.0 Espanyol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✓
42%
2.40
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Mallorca (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Espanyol +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Mallorca to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
Mallorca – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Espanyol – last 2
DD
9 Mar
vs Oviedo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Elche
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Espanyol.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Mallorca vs Espanyol?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Espanyol 30%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Espanyol?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Espanyol?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–1 Espanyol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Espanyol?
Mallorca vs Espanyol (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
