Mallorca 19%Draw 23%Real Madrid 58%Expected goals 0.97 – 1.79
77%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid to win58% · @1.53
Double chanceReal Madrid or draw81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.16
Mallorca vs Real Madrid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Madrid travel to face Mallorca on Saturday 4 April in the La Liga, with Estadi Mallorca Son Moix the venue – the ball rolls at 15:15 WAT.
Current form
Mallorca, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Espanyol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Real Madrid, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Manchester City, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Madrid, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mallorca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca 1.0 xG, Real Madrid 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca 19%, draw 23%, Real Madrid 58%.
Lower-risk option: Real Madrid or draw (81%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca 1–1 Real Madrid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca19%fair 5.38 · @5.70
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Real Madrid58%fair 1.71 · @1.53
2.77Expected goals
0.97Mallorca xG
1.79Real Madrid xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.0 – 1.8 Real Madrid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid to win
58%
1.71
1.53
Double chance
Real Madrid or draw
81%
1.23
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Real Madrid (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Mallorca +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
Real Madrid to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid ahead at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid / FT Real Madrid
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Mallorca – last 3
WLL
15 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Madrid – last 6
WWWLWW
17 Mar
@ Manchester City
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Manchester City
3–0
W
6 Mar
@ Celta Vigo
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Getafe
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Benfica
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ Benfica
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Real Madrid.
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Real Madrid?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mallorca vs Real Madrid?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Madrid 58%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Real Madrid?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Real Madrid?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–1 Real Madrid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Real Madrid?
Mallorca vs Real Madrid (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
