Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rayo Vallecano welcome Elche to Campo de Futbol de Vallecas for a La Liga fixture on Friday 3 April (20:00 WAT). In the table, Rayo Vallecano are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Elche are 18th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barcelona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Elche, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Villarreal, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rayo Vallecano, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Elche.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Vallecano 1.5 xG, Elche 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Vallecano 50%, draw 25%, Elche 24%.
Lower-risk option: Rayo Vallecano or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rayo Vallecano or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Elche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayo Vallecano50%fair 1.99 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.40
Elche24%fair 4.09 · @4.50
2.54Expected goals
1.48Rayo Vallecano xG
1.07Elche xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 1.5 – 1.1 Elche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Vallecano to win✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Double chance
Rayo Vallecano or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Rayo Vallecano (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Elche +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Rayo Vallecano to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Vallecano / FT Rayo Vallecano✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
LLDWDW
22 Mar
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Samsunspor
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Levante
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Samsunspor
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Sevilla
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Oviedo
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Elche – last 4
LDLD
8 Mar
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Osasuna
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Vallecano and Elche.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Our pick is Rayo Vallecano or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Elche 24%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Elche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
