Value bet: Mallorca to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGirona to win ✗42% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Girona vs Mallorca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mallorca travel to face Girona on Friday 1 May in the La Liga, with Estadio Municipal de Montilivi the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Girona, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Real Betis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Mallorca, last 4: DWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valencia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Girona, collecting 1.6 points per game to 1.0 for Mallorca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Girona 1.3 xG, Mallorca 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Girona 42%, draw 27%, Mallorca 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Mallorca to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Girona 1–1 Mallorca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Girona42%fair 2.39 · @2.02
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.35
Mallorca31%fair 3.22 · @3.60
2.51Expected goals
1.34Girona xG
1.17Mallorca xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Girona 1.3 – 1.2 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Girona to win✗
42%
2.39
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Draw no bet
Girona (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Mallorca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.14
First team to score
Girona to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Girona / FT Girona✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Girona – last 5
LDWDW
21 Apr
vs Real Betis
2–3
L
10 Apr
@ Real Madrid
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Villarreal
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Alaves
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Barcelona
2–1
W
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Mallorca – last 4
DWLL
21 Apr
vs Valencia
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Mallorca.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Girona vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Girona have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mallorca 31%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Mallorca?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Girona vs Mallorca?
Our predicted score is Girona 1–1 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Girona vs Mallorca?
Girona vs Mallorca (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
