Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓64% · @1.22
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Shakhtar Donetsk v Karpaty in the Premier League, played at Arena Lviv. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Karpaty are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 1.8 xG, Karpaty 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 64%, draw 22%, Karpaty 14%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Karpaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shakhtar Donetsk64%fair 1.56 · @1.22
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @5.40
Karpaty14%fair 7.39 · @10.80
2.67Expected goals
1.82Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.85Karpaty xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.8 – 0.9 Karpaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✓
64%
1.56
1.22
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.22
First team to score
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Shakhtar Donetsk
No recent results on record.
Karpaty
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Karpaty.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Karpaty 14%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Karpaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
