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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zorya Luhansk v SK Poltava: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Obolon Arena
4–0
FT
Zorya Luhansk 65%Draw 21%SK Poltava 14% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.96
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultZorya Luhansk to win ✓65% · @1.25
Double chanceZorya Luhansk or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

SK Poltava travel to face Zorya Luhansk on Sunday 8 March in the Premier League, with Obolon Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.

Current form

SK Poltava, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kudrivka, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zorya Luhansk 1.9 xG, SK Poltava 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zorya Luhansk 65%, draw 21%, SK Poltava 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zorya Luhansk 2–0 SK Poltava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zorya Luhansk65%fair 1.54 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.80
SK Poltava14%fair 7.09 · @12.00
2.87Expected goals
1.92Zorya Luhansk xG
0.96SK Poltava xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 1.9 – 1.0 SK Poltava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZorya Luhansk to win ✓65%1.541.25
Double chanceZorya Luhansk or draw ✓86%1.161.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.782.00 ▲
Draw no betZorya Luhansk (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapSK Poltava +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.541.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreZorya Luhansk to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultZorya Luhansk ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Zorya Luhansk – last 2

LD
1 Mar@ Kryvbas KR1–3L
23 Feb@ Kudrivka2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

SK Poltava – last 3

LLL
2 Marvs Kudrivka0–2L
20 Feb@ Veres Rivne2–3L
13 Feb@ Bukovyna0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zorya Luhansk and SK Poltava.

Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?

On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SK Poltava 14%.

How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?

Our predicted score is Zorya Luhansk 2–0 SK Poltava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?

Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Obolon Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.