Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓61% · @1.44
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Premier League brings Shakhtar Donetsk against Metalist 1925 Kharkiv at Arena Lviv. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are 4th (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lech Poznan, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ruh Lviv, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 1.7 xG, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 61%, draw 24%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 16%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shakhtar Donetsk to win (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shakhtar Donetsk61%fair 1.65 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.90
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv16%fair 6.39 · @6.50
2.51Expected goals
1.70Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.81Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.7 – 0.8 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✓
61%
1.65
1.44
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 4
WWWW
12 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Oleksandria
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Veres Rivne
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Karpaty
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – last 3
WWD
9 Mar
@ Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Kryvbas KR
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Our pick is Shakhtar Donetsk to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 16%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ruh Lviv0