Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓64% · @1.25
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.33
Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shakhtar Donetsk travel to face Zorya Luhansk on Thursday 23 April in the Premier League, with Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Zorya Luhansk are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Zorya Luhansk, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dynamo Kyiv, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Polessya, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Zorya Luhansk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zorya Luhansk 0.8 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zorya Luhansk 14%, draw 22%, Shakhtar Donetsk 64%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zorya Luhansk 0–2 Shakhtar Donetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zorya Luhansk14%fair 7.04 · @11.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.75
Shakhtar Donetsk64%fair 1.57 · @1.25
2.63Expected goals
0.82Zorya Luhansk xG
1.80Shakhtar Donetsk xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 0.8 – 1.8 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✓
64%
1.57
1.25
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Zorya Luhansk – last 6
LWDDWL
17 Apr
@ Dynamo Kyiv
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Obolon'-Brovar
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Kolos Kovalivka
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs SK Poltava
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Kryvbas KR
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
WDDWWL
20 Apr
vs Polessya
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–2
D
13 Apr
@ LNZ Cherkasy
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs AZ Alkmaar
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
19 Mar
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zorya Luhansk and Shakhtar Donetsk.
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shakhtar Donetsk 64%.
How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our predicted score is Zorya Luhansk 0–2 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
