Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 20 April: Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya in the Premier League, played at Arena Lviv. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Polessya are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AZ Alkmaar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Polessya, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Veres Rivne, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 1.5 xG, Polessya 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 53%, draw 27%, Polessya 20%.
Lower-risk option: Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Polessya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shakhtar Donetsk53%fair 1.89 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.10
Polessya20%fair 4.93 · @4.00
2.42Expected goals
1.53Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.89Polessya xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.5 – 0.9 Polessya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✓
53%
1.89
1.90
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.93
Draw no bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Polessya +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
DDWWLW
16 Apr
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–2
D
13 Apr
@ LNZ Cherkasy
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs AZ Alkmaar
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
19 Mar
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Polessya – last 6
DWLWWL
5 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Kudrivka
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Dynamo Kyiv
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ LNZ Cherkasy
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Kolos Kovalivka
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Toronto FC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Polessya 20%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Polessya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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