Value bet: Cordoba to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCordoba to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
AD Ceuta FC vs Cordoba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AD Ceuta FC welcome Cordoba to Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube for a Segunda División fixture on Wednesday 25 February (19:00 WAT). In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Cordoba are 11th (upper half) with 19. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.3 xG, Cordoba 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 32%, draw 26%, Cordoba 42%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Cordoba to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Cordoba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Ceuta FC32%fair 3.16 · @2.78
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.05
Cordoba42%fair 2.36 · @2.62
2.83Expected goals
1.25AD Ceuta FC xG
1.58Cordoba xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.3 – 1.6 Cordoba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
AD Ceuta FC
Cordoba
Attack vs Segunda División average
-31%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
+35%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.33
1.85
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cordoba to win✗
42%
2.36
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Cordoba (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
AD Ceuta FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Cordoba to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cordoba / FT Cordoba✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
AD Ceuta FC – last 2
WL
20 Feb
vs Granada CF
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Huesca
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cordoba
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Cordoba.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Cordoba?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Cordoba?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cordoba 42%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Cordoba?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Cordoba?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Cordoba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Cordoba?
AD Ceuta FC vs Cordoba (Segunda División) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
