Albacete vs Las Palmas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Las Palmas travel to face Albacete on Monday 16 March in the Segunda División, with Estadio Carlos Belmonte the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Albacete are 21st, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Las Palmas are 10th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Albacete, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Almeria, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Las Palmas, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over AD Ceuta FC, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Las Palmas, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Albacete.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albacete 1.3 xG, Las Palmas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albacete 34%, draw 26%, Las Palmas 40%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albacete 1–1 Las Palmas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albacete34%fair 2.93 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.15
Las Palmas40%fair 2.50 · @2.52
2.58Expected goals
1.25Albacete xG
1.33Las Palmas xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Albacete 1.3 – 1.3 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albacete
Las Palmas
Attack vs Segunda División average
-13%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.52
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✗
40%
2.50
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Albacete +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.05
First team to score
Las Palmas to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Albacete – last 3
DLD
27 Feb
vs Almeria
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Malaga
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sporting Gijon
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Las Palmas – last 3
WWD
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albacete and Las Palmas.
What is the prediction for Albacete vs Las Palmas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Albacete vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Albacete have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Las Palmas 40%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Albacete 1–1 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albacete vs Las Palmas?
Albacete vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
