Valladolid vs Cadiz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cadiz travel to face Valladolid on Tuesday 31 March in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Valladolid are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Cadiz are 20th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Cadiz, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AD Ceuta FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valladolid 1.8 xG, Cadiz 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valladolid 59%, draw 23%, Cadiz 17%.
Lower-risk option: Valladolid or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valladolid 1–1 Cadiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valladolid59%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.60
Cadiz17%fair 5.82 · @5.00
2.74Expected goals
1.82Valladolid xG
0.93Cadiz xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Valladolid 1.8 – 0.9 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Valladolid
Cadiz
Attack vs Segunda División average
+15%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+12%
Our expected goals here
2.01
1.11
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valladolid to win✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Double chance
Valladolid or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Valladolid (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Cadiz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Valladolid to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Valladolid ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid✓
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Valladolid – last 2
LD
22 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sporting Gijon
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cadiz – last 4
LWLL
28 Mar
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Mirandes
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Zaragoza
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Real Sociedad II
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Cadiz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Valladolid vs Cadiz?
On our numbers Valladolid have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cadiz 17%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Cadiz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Cadiz?
Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–1 Cadiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Valladolid vs Cadiz?
Valladolid vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mirandes1
Deportivo La Coruna2