Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting Gijon to win ✓57% · @1.75
Double chanceSporting Gijon or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting Gijon welcome Real Sociedad II to Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 6 April (19:30 WAT). In the table, Sporting Gijon are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Real Sociedad II are 17th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Sporting Gijon, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Racing Santander, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Sociedad II, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Eibar, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijon 1.8 xG, Real Sociedad II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijon 57%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad II 19%.
Lower-risk option: Sporting Gijon or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Gijon or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijon 1–0 Real Sociedad II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Gijon57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.80
Real Sociedad II19%fair 5.22 · @4.30
2.71Expected goals
1.76Sporting Gijon xG
0.96Real Sociedad II xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.8 – 1.0 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting Gijon
Real Sociedad II
Attack vs Segunda División average
-8%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.68
0.97
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Double chance
Sporting Gijon or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Draw no bet
Sporting Gijon (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Real Sociedad II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Sporting Gijon to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Sporting Gijon – last 5
LLDDD
1 Apr
@ Racing Santander
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leganes
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad II – last 6
LLLWWL
2 Apr
vs Eibar
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Almeria
1–5
L
22 Mar
vs Granada CF
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Crystal Palace U21
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Real Sociedad II.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Sporting Gijon or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Sociedad II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–0 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
