Value bet: Eibar to win @ 3.05 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultValladolid to win ✗38% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Valladolid vs Eibar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valladolid welcome Eibar to Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 13 April (19:30 WAT). In the table, Valladolid are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Eibar are 4th (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Valladolid, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cadiz, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Eibar, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AD Ceuta FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Eibar, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Valladolid.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valladolid 1.3 xG, Eibar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valladolid 38%, draw 26%, Eibar 36%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Eibar to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valladolid 1–1 Eibar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valladolid38%fair 2.61 · @2.34
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
Eibar36%fair 2.80 · @3.05
2.58Expected goals
1.29Valladolid xG
1.28Eibar xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Valladolid 1.3 – 1.3 Eibar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Valladolid
Eibar
Attack vs Segunda División average
+15%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.49
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valladolid to win✗
38%
2.61
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Valladolid (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Eibar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Valladolid to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.28
–
Recent results
Valladolid – last 3
WLD
31 Mar
vs Cadiz
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sporting Gijon
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Eibar – last 6
WWWDWL
5 Apr
vs AD Ceuta FC
3–0
W
2 Apr
@ Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Las Palmas
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Burgos
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Leganes
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Eibar.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Valladolid vs Eibar?
On our numbers Valladolid have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Eibar 36%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Eibar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Eibar?
Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–1 Eibar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Valladolid vs Eibar?
Valladolid vs Eibar (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
