Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.81
Las Palmas vs Leganes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Segunda División brings Las Palmas against Leganes at Estadio de Gran Canaria. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Las Palmas are 10th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Leganes are 18th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Las Palmas, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Huesca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Leganes, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Almeria, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Las Palmas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.6 for Leganes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Palmas 1.8 xG, Leganes 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Palmas 60%, draw 23%, Leganes 17%.
Lower-risk option: Las Palmas or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Palmas 2–0 Leganes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Palmas60%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.70
Leganes17%fair 5.75 · @5.10
2.65Expected goals
1.81Las Palmas xG
0.84Leganes xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.8 – 0.8 Leganes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Las Palmas
Leganes
Attack vs Segunda División average
+8%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
+20%
Our expected goals here
2.03
0.92
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Double chance
Las Palmas or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Las Palmas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Las Palmas to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Las Palmas ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.81
–
Recent results
Las Palmas – last 6
WWLLWW
5 Apr
vs Huesca
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Granada CF
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Eibar
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leganes – last 5
LDLDD
5 Apr
@ Almeria
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Zaragoza
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Eibar
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Sporting Gijon
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Leganes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Leganes?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leganes 17%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Leganes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Leganes?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 2–0 Leganes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs Leganes?
Las Palmas vs Leganes (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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