Value bet: Cadiz to win @ 3.85 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLas Palmas to win ✓43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.67
Cadiz vs Las Palmas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Segunda División brings Cadiz against Las Palmas at JP Financial Estadio. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Cadiz are 20th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Las Palmas are 10th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Cadiz, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Sporting Gijon, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Las Palmas, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Leganes, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Las Palmas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Cadiz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cadiz 1.2 xG, Las Palmas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cadiz 30%, draw 27%, Las Palmas 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Cadiz to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cadiz 1–1 Las Palmas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cadiz30%fair 3.34 · @3.85
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.94
Las Palmas43%fair 2.33 · @2.12
2.58Expected goals
1.22Cadiz xG
1.36Las Palmas xG
60%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cadiz 1.2 – 1.4 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cadiz
Las Palmas
Attack vs Segunda División average
-15%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.49
1.44
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✓
43%
2.33
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Cadiz +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Las Palmas to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Cadiz – last 6
LLLLWL
19 Apr
@ Sporting Gijon
0–3
L
4 Apr
vs Cordoba
1–3
L
31 Mar
@ Valladolid
0–3
L
28 Mar
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Mirandes
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Zaragoza
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Las Palmas – last 6
WWWLLW
17 Apr
vs Leganes
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Huesca
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Granada CF
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Eibar
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cadiz and Las Palmas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Cadiz have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Las Palmas 43%.
How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Cadiz 1–1 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
Cadiz vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at JP Financial Estadio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
