Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultHolbæk B&I to win ✗55% · @1.70
Double chanceHolbæk B&I or draw ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Holbæk B&I vs Næsby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Holbæk B&I v Næsby in the 3. Division, played at Holbæk Sportsby. In the table, Holbæk B&I are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Næsby are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holbæk B&I 2.2 xG, Næsby 1.5 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holbæk B&I 55%, draw 23%, Næsby 22%.
Lower-risk option: Holbæk B&I or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holbæk B&I 2–1 Næsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holbæk B&I55%fair 1.83 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.30
Næsby22%fair 4.49 · @4.00
3.62Expected goals
2.17Holbæk B&I xG
1.45Næsby xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–17%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Holbæk B&I 2.2 – 1.5 Næsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Holbæk B&I
Næsby
Attack vs 3. Division average
+22%
+25%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-4%
Our expected goals here
2.15
1.57
Our own ratings from every 3. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holbæk B&I to win✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Double chance
Holbæk B&I or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
Holbæk B&I (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Næsby +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
First team to score
Holbæk B&I to score first
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Holbæk B&I ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holbæk B&I / FT Holbæk B&I✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Holbæk B&I – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Ishøj
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Næsby
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holbæk B&I and Næsby.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
On our numbers Holbæk B&I have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Næsby 22%.
How many goals will there be in Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
Our predicted score is Holbæk B&I 2–1 Næsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
Holbæk B&I vs Næsby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Holbæk Sportsby.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Odder
Vejgaard B
Nykobing FC1
FA 20001
Lyseng0