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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Næsby v Hørsholm-Usserød: numbers & prediction

3. Division · Denmark · ALPI Arena Naesby

Næsby

W
4–1
FT

Hørsholm-Usserød

LW
Næsby 55%Draw 20%Hørsholm-Usserød 25% Expected goals 2.35 – 1.54
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: Næsby to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNæsby to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Næsby v Hørsholm-Usserød in the 3. Division, played at ALPI Arena Naesby. In the table, Næsby are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Hørsholm-Usserød are 4th (among the top four) with 25.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Næsby 2.4 xG, Hørsholm-Usserød 1.5 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Næsby 55%, draw 20%, Hørsholm-Usserød 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Næsby to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Næsby55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Hørsholm-Usserød25%fair 3.99 · @2.90
3.89Expected goals
2.35Næsby xG
1.54Hørsholm-Usserød xG
68%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
1–26%
2–06%

From our goals model: Næsby 2.4 – 1.5 Hørsholm-Usserød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

NæsbyHørsholm-Usserød
Attack vs 3. Division average+25%+23%
Goals conceded vs average-4%+10%
Our expected goals here2.521.61

Our own ratings from every 3. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNæsby to win ✓55%1.821.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.471.40
Draw no betNæsby (draw no bet) ✓69%1.46–
Asian handicapHørsholm-Usserød +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗65%1.54–
First team to scoreNæsby to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultNæsby ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Næsby / FT Næsby ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.52–

Recent results

Næsby – last 1

W
7 Mar@ Holbæk B&I2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Hørsholm-Usserød – last 2

LW
7 Marvs Vanløse0–1L
17 Feb@ Glostrup3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Næsby and Hørsholm-Usserød.

Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød head-to-head page →

3. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brønshøj15942+1331
2Holbæk B&I15924+1129
3Vanløse15762+827
4Hørsholm-Usserød15744+925
5FC Helsingor15744+525
6Næsby15636+621
7Frem15465+218
8Ishøj15537-718
9Sundby15528-117
10ASA Aarhus15528-717
11Holstebro15519-1816
12Ringsted151311-216

More 3. Division predictions

League hub
– Lyseng0 Frem0 130%3.60X25%3.40246%1.83 1.3–1.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 51%@1.75
FT Brønshøj1 Odder0 156%1.62X23%3.50221%4.50 2.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.62 ✗
FT FA 20001 Holbæk B&I0 138%2.50X26%3.10235%2.40 1.4–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.60 ✗
FT Sundby3 Vejgaard B0 150%1.95X23%3.50227%3.00 1.8–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
– Nykobing FC0 Vanløse0 163%1.50X22%3.70215%5.50 2.0–0.8xG 1Nykobing FC to win 63%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

On our numbers Næsby have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hørsholm-Usserød 25%.

How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

Our predicted score is Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.