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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Roskilde v Naestved: numbers & prediction

2. Division · Denmark · Roskilde Idrætspark
2–3
FT
Roskilde 54%Draw 26%Naestved 20% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.98
80%
Betarazi pick

Roskilde or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultRoskilde to win ✗54% · @1.91
Double chanceRoskilde or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Roskilde vs Naestved: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Roskilde welcome Naestved to Roskilde Idrætspark for a 2. Division fixture on Thursday 2 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Roskilde are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Naestved are 6th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Roskilde, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AB Copenhagen, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Naestved, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Brabrand, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Roskilde, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Naestved.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Roskilde 1.7 xG, Naestved 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Roskilde 54%, draw 26%, Naestved 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Roskilde or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Roskilde or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roskilde 1–0 Naestved. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Roskilde54%fair 1.86 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.90
Naestved20%fair 4.91 · @3.80
2.72Expected goals
1.73Roskilde xG
0.98Naestved xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Roskilde 1.7 – 1.0 Naestved expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RoskildeNaestved
Attack vs 2. Division average+20%-4%
Goals conceded vs average-22%-7%
Our expected goals here1.781.00

Our own ratings from every 2. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRoskilde to win ✗54%1.861.91
Double chanceRoskilde or draw ✗80%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.85
Draw no betRoskilde (draw no bet) ✗73%1.38–
Asian handicapNaestved +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreRoskilde to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Roskilde / FT Roskilde ✗34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Roskilde – last 6

LLWWWW
27 Mar@ AB Copenhagen0–2L
20 Marvs FC Helsingor0–1L
13 Mar@ HIK2–0W
6 Marvs Ishøj2–1W
19 Feb@ Frem4–1W
14 Feb@ Brønshøj2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Naestved – last 4

DDWD
29 Marvs Brabrand0–0D
15 Marvs Vendsyssel FF1–1D
6 Mar@ Fremad Amager3–2W
21 Febvs FC Helsingor1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Roskilde and Naestved.

Roskilde vs Naestved head-to-head page →

2. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykobing FC15942+1931
2Roskilde15780+1629
3B 9315735+624
4Middelfart15573+622
5Skive15636+221
6Naestved15492+221
7Fremad Amager15564-521
8VSK Århus15555+120
9Brabrand15537-418
10HIK15438-1115
11FA 200015339-1412
12Thisted FC151410-187

More 2. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Roskilde vs Naestved?

Our pick is Roskilde or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Roskilde vs Naestved?

On our numbers Roskilde have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Naestved 20%.

How many goals will there be in Roskilde vs Naestved?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Roskilde vs Naestved?

Our predicted score is Roskilde 1–0 Naestved, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Roskilde vs Naestved?

Roskilde vs Naestved (2. Division) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Roskilde Idrætspark.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.