Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultRoskilde to win ✗54% · @1.91
Double chanceRoskilde or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Roskilde vs Naestved: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Roskilde welcome Naestved to Roskilde Idrætspark for a 2. Division fixture on Thursday 2 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Roskilde are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Naestved are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Roskilde, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AB Copenhagen, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Naestved, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Brabrand, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Roskilde, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Naestved.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roskilde 1.7 xG, Naestved 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roskilde 54%, draw 26%, Naestved 20%.
Lower-risk option: Roskilde or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Roskilde or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roskilde 1–0 Naestved. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roskilde54%fair 1.86 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.90
Naestved20%fair 4.91 · @3.80
2.72Expected goals
1.73Roskilde xG
0.98Naestved xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Roskilde 1.7 – 1.0 Naestved expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Roskilde
Naestved
Attack vs 2. Division average
+20%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.78
1.00
Our own ratings from every 2. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roskilde to win✗
54%
1.86
1.91
Double chance
Roskilde or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Roskilde (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Naestved +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Roskilde to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roskilde / FT Roskilde✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Roskilde – last 6
LLWWWW
27 Mar
@ AB Copenhagen
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs FC Helsingor
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ HIK
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Ishøj
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Frem
4–1
W
14 Feb
@ Brønshøj
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naestved – last 4
DDWD
29 Mar
vs Brabrand
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Vendsyssel FF
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Fremad Amager
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs FC Helsingor
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roskilde and Naestved.
Our pick is Roskilde or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Roskilde vs Naestved?
On our numbers Roskilde have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Naestved 20%.
How many goals will there be in Roskilde vs Naestved?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roskilde vs Naestved?
Our predicted score is Roskilde 1–0 Naestved, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Roskilde vs Naestved?
Roskilde vs Naestved (2. Division) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Roskilde Idrætspark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.