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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sesvete v Dugopolje: numbers & prediction

First NL · Croatia · Stadion sv. Josip Radnik
3–0
FT
Sesvete 45%Draw 28%Dugopolje 27% Expected goals 1.41 – 0.93
73%
Betarazi pick

Sesvete or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSesvete to win ✓45% · @2.50
Double chanceSesvete or draw ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Sesvete vs Dugopolje: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dugopolje travel to face Sesvete on Saturday 7 March in the First NL, with Stadion sv. Josip Radnik the venue – the ball rolls at 12:45 WAT. In the table, Sesvete are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Dugopolje are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Current form

Dugopolje, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Opatija, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sesvete 1.4 xG, Dugopolje 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sesvete 45%, draw 28%, Dugopolje 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sesvete or draw (73%) at 1.36.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sesvete or draw (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sesvete 1–0 Dugopolje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sesvete45%fair 2.22 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.62
Dugopolje27%fair 3.68 · @2.80
2.35Expected goals
1.41Sesvete xG
0.93Dugopolje xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Sesvete 1.4 – 0.9 Dugopolje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSesvete to win ✓45%2.222.50 ▲
Double chanceSesvete or draw ✓73%1.371.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.852.25 ▲
Draw no betSesvete (draw no bet) ✓62%1.60–
Asian handicapDugopolje +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.71–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSesvete to score first ✓54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sesvete / FT Sesvete ✓28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Sesvete – last 2

WW
3 Marvs Dubrava Zagreb2–0W
27 Febvs Karlovac 19193–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dugopolje – last 3

DLW
28 Febvs Opatija1–1D
21 Feb@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo0–1L
14 Febvs Rudes3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sesvete and Dugopolje.

Sesvete vs Dugopolje head-to-head page →

First NL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mladost Ždralovi12723+423
2Croatia Zmijavci12714+622
3Jadran LP12552+520
4Kustosija12543+319
5HNK Cibalia12543+119
6Segesta Sisak12534+318
7Orijent 191912534018
8Bsk Bijelo Brdo12525-117
9Opatija12525-217
10Sesvete12435+315
11Dinamo Zagreb U2112507015
12Vukovar12426-314
13Karlovac 191912426-714
14Dubrava Zagreb12345-213
15Dugopolje12255-511
16Hrvace12327-511

More First NL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

Our pick is Sesvete or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

On our numbers Sesvete have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Dugopolje 27%.

How many goals will there be in Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

Our predicted score is Sesvete 1–0 Dugopolje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

Sesvete vs Dugopolje (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion sv. Josip Radnik.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.