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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Victoria Rosport v Progres Niederkorn: numbers & prediction

National Division · Luxembourg · Party-Rent-Arena

Victoria Rosport

D
2–1
FT

Progres Niederkorn

D
Victoria Rosport 25%Draw 24%Progres Niederkorn 52% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.69
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✗52% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61

Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the National Division brings Victoria Rosport against Progres Niederkorn at Party-Rent-Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Victoria Rosport are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Progres Niederkorn are 6th (upper half) with 22.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Victoria Rosport 1.3 xG, Progres Niederkorn 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria Rosport 25%, draw 24%, Progres Niederkorn 52%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria Rosport 1–1 Progres Niederkorn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Victoria Rosport25%fair 4.03 · @4.10
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.40
Progres Niederkorn52%fair 1.94 · @1.77
2.96Expected goals
1.26Victoria Rosport xG
1.69Progres Niederkorn xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Victoria Rosport 1.3 – 1.7 Progres Niederkorn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultProgres Niederkorn to win ✗52%1.941.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.90 ▲
Draw no betProgres Niederkorn (draw no bet) ✗67%1.48–
Asian handicapVictoria Rosport +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.962.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreProgres Niederkorn to score first ✗54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn ✗29%3.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.61–

Recent results

Victoria Rosport – last 1

D
15 Feb@ UNA Strassen0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Progres Niederkorn – last 1

D
15 Febvs Swift Hesperange1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Victoria Rosport and Progres Niederkorn.

Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn head-to-head page →

National Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1UNA Strassen121110+2034
2FC Differdange 03121101+2633
3US Mondorf-les-bains12903+427
4Atert Bissen12813+1625
5Racing FC Union Luxembourg12642+1822
6Progres Niederkorn12714+1022
7UN Kaerjeng 9712705+1021
8Résidence Walferdange12525-317
9F91 Dudelange12516+216
10AS Jeunesse Esch12417-513
11US Hostert12327-611
12Victoria Rosport12327-811
13US Rumelange12327-1511
14Etzella Ettelbruck12228-148
15Wiltz12138-136
16Swift Hesperange120012-420

More National Division predictions

League hub
FT Rodange 910 FC Differdange 036 111%15.00X18%5.60271%1.17 0.8–2.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✗
FT F91 Dudelange1 Mamer3 172%1.22X17%5.80210%9.40 2.5–1.0xG 1F91 Dudelange to win 72%@1.22 ✗
FT Swift Hesperange2 UN Kaerjeng 971 130%2.15X19%3.35252%3.00 1.0–2.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Jeunesse Canach0 US Hostert0 144%2.25X24%3.30231%2.80 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT US Mondorf-les-bains2 Atert Bissen1 142%2.20X24%3.30234%2.90 1.7–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Union Titus Petange0 UNA Strassen3 122%4.00X26%3.70252%1.73 1.1–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn?

On our numbers Victoria Rosport have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Progres Niederkorn 52%.

How many goals will there be in Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn?

Our predicted score is Victoria Rosport 1–1 Progres Niederkorn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn?

Victoria Rosport vs Progres Niederkorn (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Party-Rent-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.