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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

US Hostert v Progres Niederkorn: numbers & prediction

National Division · Luxembourg · Stade Jos Becker
1–5
FT
US Hostert 26%Draw 25%Progres Niederkorn 49% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.68
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓49% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63

US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: US Hostert v Progres Niederkorn in the National Division, played at Stade Jos Becker. In the table, US Hostert are 11th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Progres Niederkorn are 6th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

US Hostert, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Differdange 03, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Progres Niederkorn, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to UNA Strassen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give US Hostert 1.3 xG, Progres Niederkorn 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – US Hostert 26%, draw 25%, Progres Niederkorn 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Hostert 1–1 Progres Niederkorn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

US Hostert26%fair 3.85 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.10
Progres Niederkorn49%fair 2.04 · @1.91
2.93Expected goals
1.25US Hostert xG
1.68Progres Niederkorn xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: US Hostert 1.3 – 1.7 Progres Niederkorn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓49%2.041.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.67
Draw no betProgres Niederkorn (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapUS Hostert +1 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreProgres Niederkorn to score first54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn ✓29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

US Hostert – last 5

LLWDW
8 Mar@ FC Differdange 032–3L
4 Mar@ Fola Esch1–3L
1 Marvs UNA Strassen1–0W
22 Feb@ Jeunesse Canach0–0D
15 Febvs Union Titus Petange2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Progres Niederkorn – last 5

LWWLD
8 Mar@ UNA Strassen0–2L
4 Mar@ Wiltz1–0W
1 Marvs Union Titus Petange4–1W
22 Feb@ Victoria Rosport1–2L
15 Febvs Swift Hesperange1–1D
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between US Hostert and Progres Niederkorn.

US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn head-to-head page →

National Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1UNA Strassen121110+2034
2FC Differdange 03121101+2633
3US Mondorf-les-bains12903+427
4Atert Bissen12813+1625
5Racing FC Union Luxembourg12642+1822
6Progres Niederkorn12714+1022
7UN Kaerjeng 9712705+1021
8Résidence Walferdange12525-317
9F91 Dudelange12516+216
10AS Jeunesse Esch12417-513
11US Hostert12327-611
12Victoria Rosport12327-811
13US Rumelange12327-1511
14Etzella Ettelbruck12228-148
15Wiltz12138-136
16Swift Hesperange120012-420

More National Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?

On our numbers US Hostert have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Progres Niederkorn 49%.

How many goals will there be in US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?

Our predicted score is US Hostert 1–1 Progres Niederkorn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?

US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jos Becker.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.