Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: UN Kaerjeng 97 to win @ 3.95 – our chance 31% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✗46% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Progres Niederkorn welcome UN Kaerjeng 97 to Stade Jos Haupert for a National Division fixture on Sunday 22 March (16:00 WAT). In the table, Progres Niederkorn are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; UN Kaerjeng 97 are 7th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Progres Niederkorn, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over US Hostert, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
UN Kaerjeng 97, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over UNA Strassen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Progres Niederkorn 1.6 xG, UN Kaerjeng 97 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Progres Niederkorn 46%, draw 23%, UN Kaerjeng 97 31%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: UN Kaerjeng 97 to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progres Niederkorn 1–1 UN Kaerjeng 97. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Progres Niederkorn46%fair 2.19 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
UN Kaerjeng 9731%fair 3.19 · @3.95
3.20Expected goals
1.63Progres Niederkorn xG
1.58UN Kaerjeng 97 xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Progres Niederkorn 1.6 – 1.6 UN Kaerjeng 97 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progres Niederkorn to win✗
46%
2.19
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Draw no bet
Progres Niederkorn (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
UN Kaerjeng 97 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Progres Niederkorn to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.80
–
Recent results
Progres Niederkorn – last 6
WLWWLD
15 Mar
@ US Hostert
5–1
W
8 Mar
@ UNA Strassen
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Wiltz
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Union Titus Petange
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ Victoria Rosport
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Swift Hesperange
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UN Kaerjeng 97 – last 5
WWWLL
15 Mar
vs UNA Strassen
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Union Titus Petange
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Victoria Rosport
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Swift Hesperange
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs US Mondorf-les-bains
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progres Niederkorn and UN Kaerjeng 97.
What is the prediction for Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
On our numbers Progres Niederkorn have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UN Kaerjeng 97 31%.
How many goals will there be in Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
Our predicted score is Progres Niederkorn 1–1 UN Kaerjeng 97, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jos Haupert.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodange 912
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Mamer2