Karcag SE v Ajka Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAjka to win ✓40% · @2.88

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34

Karcag SE vs Ajka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ajka travel to face Karcag SE on Sunday 5 April in the NB II, with Ligeti úti Sporttelep the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Karcag SE are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Ajka are 7th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Karcag SE, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Budapest Honved, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.

Ajka, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bekescsaba 1912, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ajka, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.6 for Karcag SE.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karcag SE 1.2 xG, Ajka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Karcag SE 35%, draw 25%, Ajka 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Ajka to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karcag SE 1–1 Ajka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karcag SE35%fair 2.88 · @2.35

Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.10

Ajka40%fair 2.51 · @2.88

2.63Expected goals

1.21Karcag SE xG

1.42Ajka xG

58%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

1–09%

2–17%

0–27%

From our goals model: Karcag SE 1.2 – 1.4 Ajka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ajka to win ✓	40%	2.51	2.88 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.73	1.85 ▲
Draw no bet	Ajka (draw no bet) ✓	53%	1.87	–
Asian handicap	Karcag SE +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Ajka to score first ✓	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ajka / FT Ajka ✗	25%	4.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.34	–

Karcag SE – last 5

LLLLW

22 Mar	vs Budapest Honved	0–1	L
8 Mar	@ Fehérvár FC	0–2	L
1 Mar	vs BVSC	1–3	L
22 Feb	@ Vasas	0–2	L
15 Feb	vs Szeged 2011	1–0	W

0.4Scored / game

1.6Conceded / game

20%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

Ajka – last 5

WLWLL

22 Mar	vs Bekescsaba 1912	1–0	W
8 Mar	vs Csakvar	1–2	L
1 Mar	vs Szentlőrinc SE	2–1	W
22 Feb	@ Budapest Honved	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Budafoki LC	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kecskeméti TE	13	9	2	2	+13	29
2	Soroksar	13	7	4	2	+13	25
3	Kazincbarcikai	13	6	6	1	+9	24
4	Tiszakecske FC	13	6	6	1	+8	24
5	Mezokovesd-zsory	13	7	2	4	+10	23
6	Gyirmot SE	13	6	4	3	+1	22
7	Ajka	13	5	4	4	+1	19
8	Diosgyori VTK	13	5	3	5	-2	18
9	BVSC	13	5	2	6	0	17
10	Szeged 2011	13	4	4	5	0	16
11	Fehérvár FC	13	5	0	8	-1	15
12	Szentlőrinc SE	13	4	2	7	-8	14
13	Kozarmisleny FC	13	4	1	8	-9	13
14	Nagykanizsai ULE	13	4	0	9	-9	12
15	Karcag SE	13	2	5	6	-10	11
16	Csakvar	13	2	1	10	-16	7

Team

Pts

+13

+13

+10

-2

-1

-8

-9

-9

-10

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karcag SE vs Ajka?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Karcag SE vs Ajka?

On our numbers Karcag SE have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ajka 40%.

How many goals will there be in Karcag SE vs Ajka?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karcag SE vs Ajka?

Our predicted score is Karcag SE 1–1 Ajka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Karcag SE vs Ajka?

Karcag SE vs Ajka (NB II) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ligeti úti Sporttelep.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Karcag SE v Ajka: numbers & prediction