Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Erzgebirge Aue to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEnergie Cottbus to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.34
Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Erzgebirge Aue v Energie Cottbus in the 3. Liga, played at Erzgebirgsstadion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erzgebirge Aue 1.6 xG, Energie Cottbus 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erzgebirge Aue 36%, draw 24%, Energie Cottbus 40%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Erzgebirge Aue to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 Energie Cottbus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erzgebirge Aue36%fair 2.77 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.55
Energie Cottbus40%fair 2.51 · @2.20
3.07Expected goals
1.59Erzgebirge Aue xG
1.49Energie Cottbus xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Erzgebirge Aue 1.6 – 1.5 Energie Cottbus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Energie Cottbus to win✓
40%
2.51
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Draw no bet
Energie Cottbus (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Energie Cottbus +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
Erzgebirge Aue to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzgebirge Aue / FT Erzgebirge Aue✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.34
–
Recent results
Erzgebirge Aue – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ FC Viktoria Köln
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Energie Cottbus – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Waldhof Mannheim
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzgebirge Aue and Energie Cottbus.
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
On our numbers Erzgebirge Aue have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Energie Cottbus 40%.
How many goals will there be in Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
Our predicted score is Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 Energie Cottbus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Erzgebirgsstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
TSV 1860 München1
Hansa Rostock0
Hoffenheim II1
FC Viktoria Köln3