MSV Duisburg vs Havelse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 1 March: MSV Duisburg v Havelse in the 3. Liga, played at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena. In the table, MSV Duisburg are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 13 matches; Havelse are 20th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MSV Duisburg 2.5 xG, Havelse 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MSV Duisburg 68%, draw 18%, Havelse 14%.
Lower-risk option: MSV Duisburg or draw (86%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was MSV Duisburg to win (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: MSV Duisburg 2–1 Havelse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MSV Duisburg68%fair 1.46 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.33
Havelse14%fair 7.38 · @5.60
3.53Expected goals
2.52MSV Duisburg xG
1.01Havelse xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 2.5 – 1.0 Havelse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✗
68%
1.46
1.50
Double chance
MSV Duisburg or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
MSV Duisburg (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
MSV Duisburg -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
First team to score
MSV Duisburg to score first✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
MSV Duisburg ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
MSV Duisburg – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Havelse – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and Havelse.
What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
Our pick is MSV Duisburg to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Havelse 14%.
How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 2–1 Havelse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Schweinfurt 052