Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMSV Duisburg to win ✗38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MSV Duisburg travel to face FC Ingolstadt 04 on Wednesday 4 March in the 3. Liga, with Audi Sportpark the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; MSV Duisburg are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Ingolstadt 04 1.5 xG, MSV Duisburg 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Ingolstadt 04 38%, draw 24%, MSV Duisburg 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 MSV Duisburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Ingolstadt 0438%fair 2.65 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.55
MSV Duisburg38%fair 2.64 · @2.55
2.98Expected goals
1.46FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
1.53MSV Duisburg xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.5 – 1.5 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✗
38%
2.64
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Draw no bet
MSV Duisburg (draw no bet)
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
FC Ingolstadt 04 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
MSV Duisburg to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Havelse
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
MSV Duisburg – last 2
DW
1 Mar
vs Havelse
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Ingolstadt 04 and MSV Duisburg.
What is the prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
On our numbers FC Ingolstadt 04 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and MSV Duisburg 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
Our predicted score is FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg (3. Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Sportpark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Schweinfurt 050