TSV 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
TSV 1860 München welcome Erzgebirge Aue to Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße for a 3. Liga fixture on Tuesday 3 March (19:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give TSV 1860 München 1.7 xG, Erzgebirge Aue 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – TSV 1860 München 52%, draw 23%, Erzgebirge Aue 24%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: TSV 1860 München 1–1 Erzgebirge Aue. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
TSV 1860 München52%fair 1.91 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.70
Erzgebirge Aue24%fair 4.11 · @4.20
2.92Expected goals
1.69TSV 1860 München xG
1.24Erzgebirge Aue xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: TSV 1860 München 1.7 – 1.2 Erzgebirge Aue expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSV 1860 München to win✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
TSV 1860 München (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Erzgebirge Aue +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
TSV 1860 München to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSV 1860 München / FT TSV 1860 München✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
TSV 1860 München – last 2
WW
27 Feb
@ Hoffenheim II
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Hansa Rostock
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erzgebirge Aue – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs Energie Cottbus
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ FC Viktoria Köln
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSV 1860 München and Erzgebirge Aue.
What is the prediction for TSV 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win TSV 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue?
On our numbers TSV 1860 München have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Erzgebirge Aue 24%.
How many goals will there be in TSV 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSV 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Our predicted score is TSV 1860 München 1–1 Erzgebirge Aue, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is TSV 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue?
TSV 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue (3. Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Stuttgart II1
Energie Cottbus2
SSV Ulm 18461
Hoffenheim II3
Verl1
SSV Jahn Regensburg2
VfL Osnabrück2
FC Viktoria Köln0