FC Ingolstadt 04 42%Draw 23%Verl 35%Expected goals 1.78 – 1.35
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
1
Value bet: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Ingolstadt 04 to win ✗42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the 3. Liga brings FC Ingolstadt 04 against Verl at Audi Sportpark. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Verl are 17th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
FC Ingolstadt 04, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with MSV Duisburg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Ingolstadt 04 1.8 xG, Verl 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Ingolstadt 04 42%, draw 23%, Verl 35%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Verl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Ingolstadt 0442%fair 2.39 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.85
Verl35%fair 2.83 · @2.15
3.13Expected goals
1.78FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
1.35Verl xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.8 – 1.4 Verl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win✗
42%
2.39
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.38
Draw no bet
FC Ingolstadt 04 (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Verl +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
First team to score
FC Ingolstadt 04 to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Ingolstadt 04 / FT FC Ingolstadt 04✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 3
DWD
4 Mar
vs MSV Duisburg
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Havelse
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Verl – last 2
LL
3 Mar
vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Alemannia Aachen
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Verl.
What is the prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
On our numbers FC Ingolstadt 04 have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Verl 35%.
How many goals will there be in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
Our predicted score is FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Verl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Sportpark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
