Value bet: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win ✓46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Verl travel to face Rot-Weiß Essen on Saturday 9 May in the 3. Liga, with Stadion an der Hafenstrasse the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 13 matches; Verl are 17th (lower half) with 12. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rot-Weiß Essen, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Energie Cottbus, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Verl, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Havelse, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rot-Weiß Essen 2.0 xG, Verl 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rot-Weiß Essen 46%, draw 22%, Verl 32%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–1 Verl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rot-Weiß Essen46%fair 2.17 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.90
Verl32%fair 3.10 · @2.45
3.36Expected goals
2.04Rot-Weiß Essen xG
1.32Verl xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rot-Weiß Essen 2.0 – 1.3 Verl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win✓
46%
2.17
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Draw no bet
Rot-Weiß Essen (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Verl +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
First team to score
Rot-Weiß Essen to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 4
LWWL
19 Apr
@ Energie Cottbus
3–5
L
7 Apr
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
4 Mar
vs Waldhof Mannheim
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ VfL Osnabrück
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Verl – last 6
WLWWLL
2 May
vs Havelse
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ SSV Ulm 1846
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Alemannia Aachen
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rot-Weiß Essen and Verl.
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl?
On our numbers Rot-Weiß Essen have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Verl 32%.
How many goals will there be in Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl?
Our predicted score is Rot-Weiß Essen 2–1 Verl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Energie Cottbus2
TSV 1860 München1
VfL Osnabrück1
SSV Ulm 18461