Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 3.70 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSamsunspor to win ✗38% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.03
Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Süper Lig brings Fatih Karagümrük against Samsunspor at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fatih Karagümrük 1.4 xG, Samsunspor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fatih Karagümrük 37%, draw 25%, Samsunspor 38%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Fatih Karagümrük to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Samsunspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fatih Karagümrük37%fair 2.70 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Samsunspor38%fair 2.65 · @2.00
2.57Expected goals
1.43Fatih Karagümrük xG
1.14Samsunspor xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 1.4 – 1.1 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samsunspor to win✗
38%
2.65
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Samsunspor (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Samsunspor +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Fatih Karagümrük to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fatih Karagümrük / FT Fatih Karagümrük✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.03
–
Recent results
Fatih Karagümrük – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Kasımpaşa
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 2
WL
19 Feb
@ Shkendija
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Antalyaspor
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Samsunspor 38%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kayserispor1
Antalyaspor0