Fenerbahçe 71%Draw 18%Samsunspor 11%Expected goals 2.38 – 0.78
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✓71% · @1.44
Double chanceFenerbahçe or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samsunspor travel to face Fenerbahçe on Sunday 8 March in the Süper Lig, with Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Fenerbahçe are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Samsunspor are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fenerbahçe, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Gaziantep FK, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Samsunspor, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Antalyaspor, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenerbahçe 2.4 xG, Samsunspor 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenerbahçe 71%, draw 18%, Samsunspor 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenerbahçe 2–0 Samsunspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenerbahçe71%fair 1.41 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @4.35
Samsunspor11%fair 8.83 · @6.80
3.16Expected goals
2.38Fenerbahçe xG
0.78Samsunspor xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Fenerbahçe 2.4 – 0.8 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenerbahçe to win✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Double chance
Fenerbahçe or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Fenerbahçe (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Fenerbahçe -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.13
First team to score
Fenerbahçe to score first
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Fenerbahçe ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenerbahçe / FT Fenerbahçe✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Fenerbahçe – last 5
WDWDL
4 Mar
@ Gaziantep FK
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–2
D
26 Feb
@ Nottingham Forest
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Kasımpaşa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Nottingham Forest
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
WDWDWL
5 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Gaziantep FK
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Shkendija
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Fatih Karagümrük
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Shkendija
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Antalyaspor
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenerbahçe and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Fenerbahçe have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Samsunspor 11%.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Fenerbahçe 2–0 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?
Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fatih Karagümrük1
Antalyaspor0