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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor: numbers & prediction

Süper Lig · Turkey · GAİN Park Stadyumu
5–0
FT
Alanyaspor 39%Draw 28%Kocaelispor 34% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.14
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Kocaelispor to win @ 3.85 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAlanyaspor to win ✓39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.09

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alanyaspor welcome Kocaelispor to GAİN Park Stadyumu for a Süper Lig fixture on Wednesday 18 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Alanyaspor are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Kocaelispor are 7th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Alanyaspor, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gençlerbirliği S.K., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Kocaelispor, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Konyaspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kocaelispor, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Alanyaspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alanyaspor 1.1 xG, Kocaelispor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alanyaspor 39%, draw 28%, Kocaelispor 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Kocaelispor to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alanyaspor 1–1 Kocaelispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alanyaspor39%fair 2.58 · @2.00
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.20
Kocaelispor34%fair 2.97 · @3.85
2.20Expected goals
1.06Alanyaspor xG
1.14Kocaelispor xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Alanyaspor 1.1 – 1.1 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlanyaspor to win ✓39%2.582.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.95
Draw no betAlanyaspor (draw no bet) ✓54%1.87–
Asian handicapAlanyaspor +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.101.06
First team to scoreKocaelispor to score first ✗46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kocaelispor / FT Kocaelispor ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.09–

Recent results

Alanyaspor – last 3

DLL
9 Marvs Gençlerbirliği S.K.0–0D
3 Marvs Galatasaray1–2L
21 Febvs Başakşehir1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kocaelispor – last 5

LWLLW
14 Marvs Konyaspor1–2L
9 Mar@ Eyüpspor1–0W
4 Mar@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı0–1L
20 Feb@ Rizespor0–2L
15 Febvs Gazişehir Gaziantep3–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor.

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor head-to-head page →

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray11911+1228
2Trabzonspor11812+1825
3Amed11722+1323
4Beşiktaş11713+1122
5Kasımpaşa11551+620
6Fenerbahçe11614+1919
7Kocaelispor11614+419
8Başakşehir11524+217
9Çorum FK11515016
10Göztepe11434+315
11Rizespor11425-314
12Erzurumspor FK11425-714
13Alanyaspor11335-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11326-911
15Konyaspor11227-88
16Gaziantep FK11227-108
17Samsunspor11218-157
18Eyüpspor111010-273

More Süper Lig predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

On our numbers Alanyaspor have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Kocaelispor 34%.

How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our predicted score is Alanyaspor 1–1 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at GAİN Park Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.