Rizespor vs Samsunspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Rizespor v Samsunspor in the Süper Lig, played at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu. In the table, Rizespor are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Samsunspor are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Rizespor, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fatih Karagümrük, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Samsunspor, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Konyaspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rizespor 1.6 xG, Samsunspor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rizespor 47%, draw 24%, Samsunspor 29%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rizespor 1–1 Samsunspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rizespor47%fair 2.13 · @2.22
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Samsunspor29%fair 3.45 · @3.05
2.77Expected goals
1.64Rizespor xG
1.12Samsunspor xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Rizespor 1.6 – 1.1 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rizespor to win✓
47%
2.13
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Rizespor (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Samsunspor +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Rizespor to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rizespor / FT Rizespor✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Rizespor – last 6
LWLWWD
5 Apr
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Antalyaspor
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Beşiktaş
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Kasımpaşa
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Kocaelispor
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Genclerbirligi
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
DWWLLW
5 Apr
vs Konyaspor
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kayserispor
2–1
W
12 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Fenerbahçe
2–3
L
5 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rizespor and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Rizespor have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samsunspor 29%.
How many goals will there be in Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Rizespor 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
Rizespor vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
