Value bet: Kayserispor to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKasımpaşa to win ✓42% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 April the Süper Lig brings Kasımpaşa against Kayserispor at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT.
Current form
Kasımpaşa, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Beşiktaş, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Kayserispor, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fatih Karagümrük, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kasımpaşa 1.4 xG, Kayserispor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kasımpaşa 42%, draw 26%, Kayserispor 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Kayserispor to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kayserispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kasımpaşa42%fair 2.37 · @2.14
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.35
Kayserispor32%fair 3.11 · @3.30
2.63Expected goals
1.42Kasımpaşa xG
1.21Kayserispor xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kasımpaşa 1.4 – 1.2 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kasımpaşa to win✓
42%
2.37
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.67
Draw no bet
Kasımpaşa (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Kayserispor +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Kasımpaşa to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kasımpaşa / FT Kasımpaşa✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Kasımpaşa – last 6
LWDLDW
19 Mar
@ Beşiktaş
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Eyüpspor
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Konyaspor
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Rizespor
0–3
L
23 Feb
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Fatih Karagümrük
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kayserispor – last 6
WLLDWD
19 Mar
vs Fatih Karagümrük
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Samsunspor
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Trabzonspor
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Antalyaspor
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Göztepe
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kasımpaşa and Kayserispor.
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
On our numbers Kasımpaşa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kayserispor 32%.
How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
Our predicted score is Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
