Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Kocaelispor v Başakşehir in the Süper Lig, played at Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu. In the table, Kocaelispor are 7th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Başakşehir are 8th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kocaelispor, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Alanyaspor, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Başakşehir, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Antalyaspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kocaelispor 1.2 xG, Başakşehir 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kocaelispor 34%, draw 28%, Başakşehir 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kocaelispor 1–1 Başakşehir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kocaelispor34%fair 2.92 · @2.82
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.15
Başakşehir38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
2.40Expected goals
1.21Kocaelispor xG
1.19Başakşehir xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.2 – 1.2 Başakşehir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Başakşehir to win✗
38%
2.62
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Başakşehir (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Başakşehir +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.09
First team to score
Kocaelispor to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kocaelispor / FT Kocaelispor✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.82
–
Recent results
Kocaelispor – last 6
LLWLLW
18 Mar
@ Alanyaspor
0–5
L
14 Mar
vs Konyaspor
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Eyüpspor
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Rizespor
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Gazişehir Gaziantep
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Başakşehir – last 5
DLWWL
18 Mar
vs Antalyaspor
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Trabzonspor
2–4
L
27 Feb
vs Konyaspor
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Alanyaspor
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Beşiktaş
2–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kocaelispor and Başakşehir.
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Başakşehir 38%.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
Our predicted score is Kocaelispor 1–1 Başakşehir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
