Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alanyaspor welcome Samsunspor to Alanya Oba Stadium for a Süper Lig fixture on Monday 27 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Alanyaspor are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Samsunspor are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Alanyaspor, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Beşiktaş, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Samsunspor, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Beşiktaş, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Samsunspor, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Alanyaspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alanyaspor 1.5 xG, Samsunspor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alanyaspor 42%, draw 26%, Samsunspor 32%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alanyaspor 1–1 Samsunspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alanyaspor42%fair 2.36 · @2.28
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Samsunspor32%fair 3.14 · @3.15
2.66Expected goals
1.45Alanyaspor xG
1.21Samsunspor xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Alanyaspor 1.5 – 1.2 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alanyaspor to win✗
42%
2.36
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.73
Draw no bet
Alanyaspor (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Samsunspor +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Alanyaspor to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alanyaspor / FT Alanyaspor✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Alanyaspor – last 6
LLWDLL
23 Apr
@ Beşiktaş
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Kasımpaşa
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Kocaelispor
5–0
W
9 Mar
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Galatasaray
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Başakşehir
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
WWLDWW
19 Apr
vs Beşiktaş
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Eyüpspor
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rizespor
1–4
L
5 Apr
vs Konyaspor
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kayserispor
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alanyaspor and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Alanyaspor have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Samsunspor 32%.
How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Alanyaspor 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alanya Oba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fatih Karagümrük0