Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 24 April the Süper Lig brings Başakşehir against Kasımpaşa at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Başakşehir are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Kasımpaşa are 5th (upper half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Başakşehir, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kocaelispor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kasımpaşa, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alanyaspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Başakşehir 1.6 xG, Kasımpaşa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Başakşehir 54%, draw 24%, Kasımpaşa 22%.
Lower-risk option: Başakşehir or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Başakşehir54%fair 1.86 · @1.63
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.90
Kasımpaşa22%fair 4.46 · @5.00
2.69Expected goals
1.56Başakşehir xG
1.13Kasımpaşa xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Başakşehir 1.6 – 1.1 Kasımpaşa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Başakşehir to win✓
54%
1.86
1.63
Double chance
Başakşehir or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Draw no bet
Başakşehir (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Kasımpaşa +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
First team to score
Başakşehir to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Başakşehir / FT Başakşehir✓
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Başakşehir – last 6
DDLWWL
6 Apr
@ Kocaelispor
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Antalyaspor
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Trabzonspor
2–4
L
27 Feb
vs Konyaspor
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Alanyaspor
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Beşiktaş
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kasımpaşa – last 6
WWLWDL
19 Apr
vs Alanyaspor
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Kayserispor
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Beşiktaş
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Eyüpspor
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Konyaspor
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Rizespor
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa.
What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
On our numbers Başakşehir have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kasımpaşa 22%.
How many goals will there be in Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
Our predicted score is Başakşehir 1–1 Kasımpaşa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?
Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
