Value bet: Šamorín to win @ 4.10 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMalženice to win ✗47% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Malženice vs Šamorín: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Malženice welcome Šamorín to Futbalový štadión Malženice for a 2. Liga fixture on Friday 8 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Malženice are 12th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Šamorín are 1st (leading the league) with 36. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Malženice, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Žilina II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Šamorín, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liptovský Mikuláš, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Malženice, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Šamorín.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malženice 1.5 xG, Šamorín 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malženice 47%, draw 24%, Šamorín 29%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Šamorín to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malženice 1–1 Šamorín. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malženice47%fair 2.15 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.55
Šamorín29%fair 3.45 · @4.10
2.88Expected goals
1.48Malženice xG
1.40Šamorín xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Malženice 1.5 – 1.4 Šamorín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malženice to win✗
47%
2.15
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Malženice (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Šamorín +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Malženice to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malženice / FT Malženice✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Malženice – last 6
DDWDWW
3 May
@ Žilina II
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Lokomotíva Zvolen
0–0
D
22 Apr
vs Slávia TU Košice
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Slovan Bratislava II
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Považská Bystrica
4–2
W
7 Apr
vs Zlaté Moravce
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Šamorín – last 5
DWWLL
22 Apr
vs Liptovský Mikuláš
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Zlaté Moravce
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Inter Bratislava
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Petržalka
0–3
L
6 Mar
@ Pohronie
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malženice and Šamorín.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Malženice vs Šamorín?
On our numbers Malženice have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Šamorín 29%.
How many goals will there be in Malženice vs Šamorín?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malženice vs Šamorín?
Our predicted score is Malženice 1–1 Šamorín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Malženice vs Šamorín?
Malženice vs Šamorín (2. Liga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Futbalový štadión Malženice.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.